The strong early response toBlack Panther: Wakanda Forevermoves it up a couple notches in my rankings.
Right now I’d say the impressive dramasThe Woman KingandShe Saidare just outside of these 12 contenders.
He’s an outside contender but his still-controversial persona makes him a long shot at best.

‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’.Marvel Studios
I’d love to see more attention, meanwhile, for the fabulous Mia Goth fromPearl.
Best Supporting Actor
The supporting races seem much tougher to predict this year.
Will films likeThe FabelmansandThe Banshees of Inisherinscore double nods here?

Brendan Gleeson and Colin Farrell in ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’.Searchlight Pictures
It very well could happen.
Best Supporting Actress
Carey Mulligan’s decision to go supporting forShe Saidprovides a shake-up in this category.
Meanwhile, the rising buzz forEverything Everywhere All at OncebumpsJamie Lee Curtisup into the top five in my rankings.

Zoe Kazan and Carey Mulligan in ‘She Said’.JoJo Whilden/Universal Pictures
Watch this space for his regularly updated rankings within the major categories.