The strong early response toBlack Panther: Wakanda Forevermoves it up a couple notches in my rankings.

Right now I’d say the impressive dramasThe Woman KingandShe Saidare just outside of these 12 contenders.

He’s an outside contender but his still-controversial persona makes him a long shot at best.

Black Panther Wakanda Forever

‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’.Marvel Studios

I’d love to see more attention, meanwhile, for the fabulous Mia Goth fromPearl.

Best Supporting Actor

The supporting races seem much tougher to predict this year.

Will films likeThe FabelmansandThe Banshees of Inisherinscore double nods here?

THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

Brendan Gleeson and Colin Farrell in ‘The Banshees of Inisherin’.Searchlight Pictures

It very well could happen.

Best Supporting Actress

Carey Mulligan’s decision to go supporting forShe Saidprovides a shake-up in this category.

Meanwhile, the rising buzz forEverything Everywhere All at OncebumpsJamie Lee Curtisup into the top five in my rankings.

SHE SAID

Zoe Kazan and Carey Mulligan in ‘She Said’.JoJo Whilden/Universal Pictures

Watch this space for his regularly updated rankings within the major categories.